Choose a fight to analyse
MH
CO
Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RR
Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight
RF
RJ
Font vs Rosas Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight
DD
MJ
Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
GR
BF
Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
CG
XL
Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RT
AM
Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
NT
Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
JA
Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
LF
RB
Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DJ
CB
Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
RT
DN
Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CO
Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RR
Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight
RF
RJ
Font vs Rosas Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight
DD
MJ
Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
GR
BF
Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
CG
XL
Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RT
AM
Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
NT
Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
JA
Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
LF
RB
Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DJ
CB
Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
RT
DN
Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodrigues v Ferreira
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
GR
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
15-3 FerreiraBF
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
15-3 FerreiraBF
6'3"
height
5'10"
186 lb
weight
184 lb
75"
reach
72"
34
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.8
56%
striking accuracy
50%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
51%
striking defence
52%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
41%
takedown accuracy
16%
100%
takedown defence
53%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.5
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodrigues18-6
W
BF
Ferreira
Mar '26
Ferreira
Mar '26
W
RK
Kopylov
Nov '25
Kopylov
Nov '25
W
JH
Hermansson
Jun '25
Hermansson
Jun '25
L
JC
Cannonier
Feb '25
Cannonier
Feb '25
W
CD
Duncan
Jul '24
Duncan
Jul '24
Ferreira15-3
L
IA
Aliskerov
Jun '26
Aliskerov
Jun '26
L
GR
Rodrigues
Mar '26
Rodrigues
Mar '26
W
MV
Vettori
Dec '25
Vettori
Dec '25
W
JM
McVey
Jul '25
McVey
Jul '25
W
AP
Petrosyan
Mar '25
Petrosyan
Mar '25
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Brunno Ferreira
“we're going to go with uh Brunno Ferreira on that one.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I got the Gregory Rodrigues, man. Hit hard.”
TE
TeejMMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I got Gregory Rodrigues by TKO in the second round”
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm taking Brunno Ferreira by KO in round two since I think Gregory Rodrigues will be more cautious, but I believe he'll get NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 will get it done in round two.”
DY
DylanMMA picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm gonna go Brunno Ferreira by KO.”
VI
Vicious421 picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to go with Gregory probably by knockout or it would be like a a tough little scrap and then uh he'll win on decision. But that's going to be my prediction for that one.”
HI
HilexMMA picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I am going to go with Gregory Rodrigues”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Brunno Ferreira
“I think Brunno Ferreira is going to beat him again.”
TF
The Fight Forecast picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I think he wins by decision though if I were to favor any.”
AN
AntUFC picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to take Gregory Gregory Rodrigues... I'm going with Roger by TKO in round three”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“give me that decision for Brunno Ferreira.”
RS
Run the Seam Show picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to go with uh Submission.”