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Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Duncan vs VucenicMain Card · Lightweight
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Wood vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
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JH
Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LK
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Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
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Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
CU
Ulberg 14-1
VS
29-10-1 BłachowiczJB
Ulberg 14-1
VS
29-10-1 BłachowiczJB
6'4"
height
—
205 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
35
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.4
63%
striking accuracy
50%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
64%
striking defence
53%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
71%
takedown accuracy
50%
77%
takedown defence
68%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W
JP
Procházka
Apr '26
Procházka
Apr '26
W
DR
Reyes
Sep '25
Reyes
Sep '25
W
JB
Błachowicz
Mar '25
W
VO
Oezdemir
Nov '24
Oezdemir
Nov '24
W
AM
Menifield
May '24
Menifield
May '24
Błachowicz29-10-1
L
CU
Ulberg
Mar '25
Ulberg
Mar '25
L
AP
Pereira
Jul '23
Pereira
Jul '23
W
AR
Rakić
May '22
Rakić
May '22
L
GT
Teixeira
Oct '21
Teixeira
Oct '21
W
IA
Adesanya
Mar '21
Adesanya
Mar '21
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“Carlos Ulberg continues the longest active win streak at 205”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE
“Jan pressured forward ulberg would land like a striker two dance around”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm pretty confident Carlos Ulberg Bberg is going to win this fight.”
$1.33
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jan Błachowicz
“yeah I'm all over the Jan Błachowicz blakovich”
TF
TNT Sports Football picks Jan Błachowicz
“it's got to be Jan Błachowicz. And of course, it has. Yeah. I mean, it's it ends in a very violent way, doesn't it? Yeah. It's it's it's it's my favorite fight on the card.”
WM
Wade MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm going yanovich via decision”
SC
STRIKERS CORONER picks Carlos Ulberg
“I see him taking out Jan bovich bovich pretty easily I would say knockout in round two”
MB
MMA BG picks Carlos Ulberg
“my prediction is Carlos Olberg decision”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Carlos Ulberg
“the simulations have Carlos Ulberg Ulberg coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with three simulation victories by decision”
CO
Covers picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think Carlos Carlos Ulberg's going to win.”
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Jan Błachowicz
“Yan blov will beat kosberg”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I got to go Carlos ubber here”