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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Holland v Nelson Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 69 picks · conf 75/99
Holland 45
24 Nelson
eP9DBM pick Holland
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
KHHolland 28-15 VS 19-5-1 NelsonGN
6'3" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 170 lb
81" reach 72"
33 age 37
Orthodox stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W RB Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L MM Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L DR Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W VL Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W GN Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25
Nelson19-5-1
L KH Holland Decision · R3 Mar '25
W BB Barberena Submission · R1 Mar '23
W TS Sato Decision · R3 Mar '22
L GB Burns Decision · R3 Sep '19
L LE Edwards Decision · R3 Mar '19
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I picked Kevin Holland to win this fight”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gunnar Nelson “My subscribers and I went with Ghana Nelson.” $1.82
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Gunnar Nelson “I got Gunnar Nelson play I'm Gunnar Nelson by default”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm going to pick Kevin Kevin Holland by knockout” $1.94
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE “vitória do Gunnar Nelson contra o Kevin Holland”
UG UFC Genie picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I've got two and a half units on the money line” $2.10
SC STRIKERS CORONER picks Kevin Holland “I'm going to pick Kevin Holland to finally get back on the win column by knockout in round one”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Kevin Holland VALUE “Kevin Holland by knockout”
UF Ultimate fight fan picks Gunnar Nelson “backing Gunnar Nelson to beat Kevin Holland”
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I am going to pick Kevin hen in 2025”
TM The Random Of MMA picks Gunnar Nelson “I'm actually GNA go with Gunnar Gunnar Nelson by decision or I better yet maybe even a submission”
MM Money Mitch MMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm choosing Kevin Holland to win”