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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ruffy v Green
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
MRRuffy 13-2
VS
35-17-1 GreenKG
Ruffy 13-2
VS
35-17-1 GreenKG
5'11"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
75"
reach
71"
30
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
6.4
49%
striking accuracy
53%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
49%
striking defence
62%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
30%
takedown accuracy
39%
69%
takedown defence
74%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.3
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ruffy13-2
W
MC
Chandler
Jun '26
Chandler
Jun '26
W
RF
Fiziev
Feb '26
Fiziev
Feb '26
L
BD
Denis
Sep '25
Denis
Sep '25
W
KG
Green
Mar '25
Green
Mar '25
W
JL
Llontop
Nov '24
Llontop
Nov '24
Green35-17-1
W
JS
Stephens
May '26
Stephens
May '26
W
DZ
Zellhuber
Feb '26
Zellhuber
Feb '26
W
LJ
Gibson Jr.
Dec '25
Gibson Jr.
Dec '25
L
MR
Ruffy
Mar '25
Ruffy
Mar '25
L
PP
Pimblett
Jul '24
Pimblett
Jul '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BG
Bradley Gleason picks Maurício Ruffy
“I don't see King Green really I really don't love this match up I really don't love this matchup it's a weird one I kind of see him getting ko'ed yeah”
Bradley Gleason picks Maurício Ruffy
“I don't see King Green really I really don't love this match up I really don't love this matchup it's a weird one I kind of see him getting ko'ed yeah”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks King Green VALUE
“I think an ANL can win this fight... they got the part of the going to stick it out to the best game plan possible”
Capitán Rafucho picks King Green VALUE
“I think an ANL can win this fight... they got the part of the going to stick it out to the best game plan possible”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green but this does not strike me Maurício Ruffy is going to be a whirlwind here and for King Green but uh we will see how ideally um but King Green likes to be these throw power King Green could have success in NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green out of there um if he throws think just I think as NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green gets wrong about that maybe King Green does have against a guy like King Green who can pile on with facing a guy like Maurício Ruffy is I mean if actually prefer King Green as the DFS be interesting King Green is uh a high volume King Green yeah yeah um you know a lot of uh I got to take Maurício Ruffy and uh the main card as well”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green but this does not strike me Maurício Ruffy is going to be a whirlwind here and for King Green but uh we will see how ideally um but King Green likes to be these throw power King Green could have success in NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green out of there um if he throws think just I think as NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green gets wrong about that maybe King Green does have against a guy like King Green who can pile on with facing a guy like Maurício Ruffy is I mean if actually prefer King Green as the DFS be interesting King Green is uh a high volume King Green yeah yeah um you know a lot of uh I got to take Maurício Ruffy and uh the main card as well”
MD
mdminds picks King Green VALUE
“I can see King Green maybe going over either going the distance or at least over two rounds.”
mdminds picks King Green VALUE
“I can see King Green maybe going over either going the distance or at least over two rounds.”
MD
mdminds picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Minus 500 is the line for money line for Maurício Ruffy.”
mdminds picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Minus 500 is the line for money line for Maurício Ruffy.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'll go Maurício Ruffy by decision”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'll go Maurício Ruffy by decision”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I just think Maurício Ruffy has a really good shot at a finish in this fight”
etoft21 sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I just think Maurício Ruffy has a really good shot at a finish in this fight”
ES
etoft21 sports picks King Green VALUE
“I like it my grapples striking adjustments King Green and knocking him out”
etoft21 sports picks King Green VALUE
“I like it my grapples striking adjustments King Green and knocking him out”
EB
ESPN BET picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“giveing Maurício Ruffy to win in over one and a half rounds”
$2.00
ESPN BET picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“giveing Maurício Ruffy to win in over one and a half rounds”
$2.00
LM
Lightning MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“last faton the prelims is Curtis blades against NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 we go by ctis blades decision win um NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 I know him from the time he fought NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 he lost against him and I believe NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 at the time was middleweight maximum light haway so crus blades is a big haway he knows how to deal with this of course we know NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 had some things in him you know some some NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 stuff and he's very big right now but still the class and the and the experience from NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 is on a different level this is definitely uh an NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 fight for Cruis blades I have just four fights on the main event we don't pick the woman fights so yeah first is King Green we still got in to go with his new name new name against Mauricio Maurício Ruffy so we”
Lightning MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“last faton the prelims is Curtis blades against NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 we go by ctis blades decision win um NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 I know him from the time he fought NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 he lost against him and I believe NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 at the time was middleweight maximum light haway so crus blades is a big haway he knows how to deal with this of course we know NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 had some things in him you know some some NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 stuff and he's very big right now but still the class and the and the experience from NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 is on a different level this is definitely uh an NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 fight for Cruis blades I have just four fights on the main event we don't pick the woman fights so yeah first is King Green we still got in to go with his new name new name against Mauricio Maurício Ruffy so we”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy is gonna knock him out”
Cyclone MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy is gonna knock him out”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks King Green VALUE
“I like the Alex morono by decision bet ... I like Carlos Leal”
Cyclone MMA picks King Green VALUE
“I like the Alex morono by decision bet ... I like Carlos Leal”