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UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Leal v Morono Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 65 picks · conf 74/99
Leal 52
13 Morono
TPTETK pick Leal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
CLLeal 21-6 VS 24-12 MoronoAM
5'11" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 72"
32 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leal21-6
W CN Njokuani Decision · R3 Feb '26
W AM Morono KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L RF Fakhretdinov Decision · R3 Oct '24
Morono24-12
L DD Donchenko Decision · R3 Feb '26
L CL Leal KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L DR Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L NP Price Decision · R3 Jun '24
W CM McGee Decision · R3 Apr '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm picking Carlos Leal”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Carlos Leal “Carlos Carlos Lealeal versus Alex Magomed Ankalaevorono going with Carlos Leal to win”
LM Lightning MMA picks Carlos Leal “Alex moruno against Carlos Leal we go by Carlos Leal decision he has just one fight in UFC and one loss against Rafael Fiziev but the thing is he's very experienced he has almost 40 fights 21 wins something like that so yeah Alex Morono is a guy you know you know he has some wins on his record which you which he never should have but you know sometimes youf see also has some fights where you you just don't know how who to pick but on this side we go belil because we think he's the better fighter”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm taking Carlos Leal um anyone who can take fenov into deep Waters like that I like their chances”
PA PattyMMA picks Carlos Leal “I'm going for for Carlos Leal in this fight Carlos Lealos uh”
AM AA MMA picks Carlos Leal “in all theories he should beat the you know little gatekeeper Alex Morono”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlos Leal “I think it's going to be an easy win for Carlos Leal... I think this one's going to be another decision to be honest”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm picking Carlos Leal Le all day I think most people will”
WP We Want Picks picks Carlos Leal “if I have to just pick a winner odds and DraftKings pricing aside I'm going to pick Le all” $1.12
LE Lepresident picks Carlos Leal “I have gone with caros steel anyway”
BP Bloody Water Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE “Alex Morono money line dog line plus 575”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE “I think Alex Morono is tough he'll make it to they'll make it to the third round before he gets knocked out”