Choose a fight to analyse
PY
DF
Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight
YX
TR
Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
SK
Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight
GF
WC
Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CU
VO
Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ZM
OD
Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
YS
BJ
Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CD
KS
Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
FX
Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CH
NT
Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LK
JO
Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
XL
QL
Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
MH
Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DF
Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight
YX
TR
Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
SK
Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight
GF
WC
Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CU
VO
Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ZM
OD
Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
YS
BJ
Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CD
KS
Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
FX
Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CH
NT
Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LK
JO
Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
XL
QL
Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
MH
Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mingyang v Diaz
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
ZMMingyang 19-7
VS
9-3 DiazOD
Mingyang 19-7
VS
9-3 DiazOD
6'2"
height
6'4"
205 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
79"
27
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
2.2
37%
striking accuracy
43%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
49%
striking defence
46%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
49%
takedown accuracy
0%
65%
takedown defence
0%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mingyang19-7
L
AM
Menifield
May '26
Menifield
May '26
L
JW
Walker
Aug '25
Walker
Aug '25
W
AS
Smith
Apr '25
Smith
Apr '25
W
OD
Diaz
Nov '24
Diaz
Nov '24
W
BR
Ribeiro
Feb '24
Ribeiro
Feb '24
Diaz9-3
W
DS
Santos
Mar '25
Santos
Mar '25
L
ZM
Mingyang
Nov '24
Mingyang
Nov '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I'm gonna do Albert knock out round number one yep so it's gonna be like the two fights but it's gonna end in as a knockout now”
Capitán Rafucho picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I'm gonna do Albert knock out round number one yep so it's gonna be like the two fights but it's gonna end in as a knockout now”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang wins via first round KO”
MMA JOEY picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang wins via first round KO”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang versus Ozzy Diaz bringing Relentless forward pressure and knockout power against Ozzy Diaz's more well-rounded game Zhang Mingyang has a history of quick finish and thrives in chaotic exchanges making him a serious threat early in the fight Ozzy Diaz on the other hand is a capable Striker with decent grappling but his durability and defense have been questionable in the past particularly against Heavy Hitters if Zhang Mingyang can impose his aggressive style and land cleanly he is likely to secure an early TKO however if Ozzy Diaz can weather the storm his more diverse skill set could allow him to take over as the fight progresses my prediction is mingyang Jang by first round TKO”
TakeDownTalks picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang versus Ozzy Diaz bringing Relentless forward pressure and knockout power against Ozzy Diaz's more well-rounded game Zhang Mingyang has a history of quick finish and thrives in chaotic exchanges making him a serious threat early in the fight Ozzy Diaz on the other hand is a capable Striker with decent grappling but his durability and defense have been questionable in the past particularly against Heavy Hitters if Zhang Mingyang can impose his aggressive style and land cleanly he is likely to secure an early TKO however if Ozzy Diaz can weather the storm his more diverse skill set could allow him to take over as the fight progresses my prediction is mingyang Jang by first round TKO”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Zhang Mingyang
“then um Zhang Mingyang he's probably my favorite on this card um he's been super impressive he's uh 17 and six but he has uh 11 finishes by knockout and he's on a 10-fight knockout streak or he's on a 10f fight fight finish streak he's on he's seven of them are seven straight Knockouts”
etoft21 sports picks Zhang Mingyang
“then um Zhang Mingyang he's probably my favorite on this card um he's been super impressive he's uh 17 and six but he has uh 11 finishes by knockout and he's on a 10-fight knockout streak or he's on a 10f fight fight finish streak he's on he's seven of them are seven straight Knockouts”
TH
The Hardcore Hater picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going to take Zhang Mingyang in this one to show out for his home region crowd”
The Hardcore Hater picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going to take Zhang Mingyang in this one to show out for his home region crowd”
PP
Parlay Princes picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going Zhang Mingyang guys my picks are all the same basically”
Parlay Princes picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going Zhang Mingyang guys my picks are all the same basically”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I think Ozzy Diaz is very live and if he wins it's going to come from an early knockout”
Mayo Media Network picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I think Ozzy Diaz is very live and if he wins it's going to come from an early knockout”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“Zhang Mingyang manen is the first really good play on the Slate he's got finishing upside he wins all his fights pretty much round one round two KO pretty big favorite here plus 150 round one”
All-Star DFS picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“Zhang Mingyang manen is the first really good play on the Slate he's got finishing upside he wins all his fights pretty much round one round two KO pretty big favorite here plus 150 round one”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Diaz plus 300 money line plus 400 itd I think it's okay as a punt I would consider playing it in in mme”
All-Star DFS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Diaz plus 300 money line plus 400 itd I think it's okay as a punt I would consider playing it in in mme”
CM
Coty MMA picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“the pick is Zhang Mingyang”
Coty MMA picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“the pick is Zhang Mingyang”
MC
McallenTYT picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going with Zhang Mingyang on this one I'm going with Zang mingyang”
McallenTYT picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going with Zhang Mingyang on this one I'm going with Zang mingyang”
PB
PROJECT BATTLEFIT picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang is a brilliant Striker he's shown his power he's shown bonus skill he has been around the game he's fought a lot of amateur competitions he's made a mark even in the pros”
PROJECT BATTLEFIT picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang is a brilliant Striker he's shown his power he's shown bonus skill he has been around the game he's fought a lot of amateur competitions he's made a mark even in the pros”