Choose a fight to analyse
PY
DF
Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight
YX
TR
Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
SK
Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight
GF
WC
Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CU
VO
Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ZM
OD
Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
YS
BJ
Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CD
KS
Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
FX
Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CH
NT
Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LK
JO
Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
XL
QL
Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
MH
Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DF
Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight
YX
TR
Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
SK
Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight
GF
WC
Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
CU
VO
Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ZM
OD
Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
YS
BJ
Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CD
KS
Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
FX
Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CH
NT
Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LK
JO
Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
XL
QL
Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
MH
Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hernandez v Tumendemberel
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
CHHernandez 10-5
VS
8-1 TumendemberelNT
Hernandez 10-5
VS
8-1 TumendemberelNT
5'8"
height
5'7"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
71"
32
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.9
strikes landed / min
3.1
45%
striking accuracy
38%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
50%
striking defence
51%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.4
21%
takedown accuracy
31%
67%
takedown defence
52%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
2.4
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hernandez10-5
L
PH
Hyun-sung
May '25
Hyun-sung
May '25
W
NT
Tumendemberel
Nov '24
Tumendemberel
Nov '24
L
RT
Tsuruya
Jun '24
Tsuruya
Jun '24
L
TT
Taira
Dec '23
Taira
Dec '23
W
DB
Bondar
Jun '23
Bondar
Jun '23
Tumendemberel8-1
W
CD
Durden
Mar '26
Durden
Mar '26
L
CH
Hernandez
Nov '24
Hernandez
Nov '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
AM
Artem MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“I thought that Carlos Hernandez won but I did pick Carlos Hernandez”
Artem MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“I thought that Carlos Hernandez won but I did pick Carlos Hernandez”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Carlos Hernandez
“Carlos Hernandez gets the split decision”
MMA JOEY picks Carlos Hernandez
“Carlos Hernandez gets the split decision”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Carlos Hernandez
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus Carlos Carlos Hernandez fight I lean towards Carlos Carlos Hernandez while NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 has powerful striking and the ability to finish fights quickly on the feet Carlos Hernandez's well-rounded game could neutralize to medal's striking Advantage if Carlos Hernandez can close the distance and take the fight to the ground he has the ability to control trendum barrel with his wrestling and potentially look for a submission”
TakeDownTalks picks Carlos Hernandez
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus Carlos Carlos Hernandez fight I lean towards Carlos Carlos Hernandez while NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 has powerful striking and the ability to finish fights quickly on the feet Carlos Hernandez's well-rounded game could neutralize to medal's striking Advantage if Carlos Hernandez can close the distance and take the fight to the ground he has the ability to control trendum barrel with his wrestling and potentially look for a submission”
HP
Hayjive Picks picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel VALUE
“he's facing a guy in Nyamjargal Tumendemberel who's just all gas no breaks he's going to be throwing wild stuff at you from the jump so I think there's upside for an early finish in this fight”
Hayjive Picks picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel VALUE
“he's facing a guy in Nyamjargal Tumendemberel who's just all gas no breaks he's going to be throwing wild stuff at you from the jump so I think there's upside for an early finish in this fight”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Carlos Hernandez
“I definitely favor Carlos Carlos Hernandez to win this fight”
Mayo Media Network picks Carlos Hernandez
“I definitely favor Carlos Carlos Hernandez to win this fight”
CM
Coty MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“the pick is Carlos Carlos Hernandez I just think he's you know if he survives the early onslaught”
Coty MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“the pick is Carlos Carlos Hernandez I just think he's you know if he survives the early onslaught”
HS
Helen Yee Sports picks Carlos Hernandez
“Я представляю что Я доминирую контролирую и в нужный момент делаю всё возможное чтобы победить”
Helen Yee Sports picks Carlos Hernandez
“Я представляю что Я доминирую контролирую и в нужный момент делаю всё возможное чтобы победить”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel VALUE
“LVolkan Oezdemirne'er Kavanagh taking Volkan Oezdemirn JVolkan OezdemirSong Kenane OchVolkan Oezdemira”
Tony's Picks picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel VALUE
“LVolkan Oezdemirne'er Kavanagh taking Volkan Oezdemirn JVolkan OezdemirSong Kenane OchVolkan Oezdemira”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“you locks Carlos Carlos Hernandez I think he probably beats two men Dumbo”
MMA EXPERTS picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“you locks Carlos Carlos Hernandez I think he probably beats two men Dumbo”
GM
Green Bets MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“nyang jangal tar Bol yeah that was probably an insult to his name there but I'm going to go with him he's an undefeated fighter obviously Carlos Hernandez yeah he is he is actually decent and obviously he has the UFC experience where Nyamjargal Tumendemberel does not but he is an undefeated guy he does hold good power and yeah I just think he has a chance and he is a deadly guy on the ground too like if he gets you on the ground submits you he's angry bad man”
Green Bets MMA picks Carlos Hernandez
“nyang jangal tar Bol yeah that was probably an insult to his name there but I'm going to go with him he's an undefeated fighter obviously Carlos Hernandez yeah he is he is actually decent and obviously he has the UFC experience where Nyamjargal Tumendemberel does not but he is an undefeated guy he does hold good power and yeah I just think he has a chance and he is a deadly guy on the ground too like if he gets you on the ground submits you he's angry bad man”