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BM
LE
Muhammad vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
TA
CB
Aspinall vs BlaydesMain Card · Heavyweight
PP
KG
Pimblett vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
GR
CD
Rodrigues vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
AA
GC
Allen vs ChikadzeMain Card · Featherweight
NW
DP
Wood vs PinedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
MM
Brasil vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JH
CL
Hadley vs LoughranPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
MK
Mokaev vs KapePreliminary Card · Flyweight
OE
PP
Elliott vs ParsonsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
MP
Bukauskas vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
SP
KC
Patterson vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MP
ŁB
Parkin vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
SB
AA
Bannon vs ArdeleanEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
LE
Muhammad vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
TA
CB
Aspinall vs BlaydesMain Card · Heavyweight
PP
KG
Pimblett vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
GR
CD
Rodrigues vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
AA
GC
Allen vs ChikadzeMain Card · Featherweight
NW
DP
Wood vs PinedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
MM
Brasil vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JH
CL
Hadley vs LoughranPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
MK
Mokaev vs KapePreliminary Card · Flyweight
OE
PP
Elliott vs ParsonsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MB
MP
Bukauskas vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
SP
KC
Patterson vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MP
ŁB
Parkin vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
SB
AA
Bannon vs ArdeleanEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Muhammad v Edwards
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
BMMuhammad 24-5
VS
22-5 EdwardsLE
Muhammad 24-5
VS
22-5 EdwardsLE
5'11"
height
6'2"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
72"
reach
74"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.9
47%
striking accuracy
48%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
59%
striking defence
60%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
46%
takedown accuracy
39%
77%
takedown defence
73%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.3
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Muhammad24-5
L
GB
Bonfim
Jun '26
Bonfim
Jun '26
L
IG
Garry
Nov '25
Garry
Nov '25
L
JM
Maddalena
May '25
Maddalena
May '25
W
LE
Edwards
Jul '24
Edwards
Jul '24
W
GB
Burns
May '23
Burns
May '23
Edwards22-5
L
CP
Prates
Nov '25
Prates
Nov '25
L
SB
Brady
Mar '25
Brady
Mar '25
L
BM
Muhammad
Jul '24
Muhammad
Jul '24
W
CC
Covington
Dec '23
Covington
Dec '23
W
KU
Usman
Mar '23
Usman
Mar '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LS
Lil Stray picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I'm going Leon Edwards”
Lil Stray picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I'm going Leon Edwards”
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Leon Edwards
“I got Leon Edwards by decision unanimous I'm going to say 5044 Leon Edwards lock that in too”
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Leon Edwards
“I got Leon Edwards by decision unanimous I'm going to say 5044 Leon Edwards lock that in too”
ID
IDavidTheKing picks Belal Muhammad
“UFC 5 somehow predicts Belal Muhammad head kick Ko's Leon Edwards”
IDavidTheKing picks Belal Muhammad
“UFC 5 somehow predicts Belal Muhammad head kick Ko's Leon Edwards”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Belal Muhammad
“Leon Edwards is defending against Belal Muhammad”
Liam Picks Fights picks Belal Muhammad
“Leon Edwards is defending against Belal Muhammad”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammadukauskas versus Muhammad Mokaevarcin Prachnio fight starts round three I'm going to say Belal Muhammadow's decision”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammadukauskas versus Muhammad Mokaevarcin Prachnio fight starts round three I'm going to say Belal Muhammadow's decision”
TP
The City Life Project picks Leon Edwards
“I'm picking Leon Edwards to win by the way if that wasn't clear”
The City Life Project picks Leon Edwards
“I'm picking Leon Edwards to win by the way if that wasn't clear”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Leon Edwards
“G say Leon Edwards by decision Leon Edwards by decision”
The MMA-Holes picks Leon Edwards
“G say Leon Edwards by decision Leon Edwards by decision”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Belal Muhammad is going to be um he's a good upset I also think Curtis Blaydes I am picking Tom Aspinall spoiler alert I think Tom Aspinall and Belal Muhammad are the guys”
The MMA-Holes picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Belal Muhammad is going to be um he's a good upset I also think Curtis Blaydes I am picking Tom Aspinall spoiler alert I think Tom Aspinall and Belal Muhammad are the guys”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“Leon Leon Edwards is minus 250”
$1.40
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“Leon Leon Edwards is minus 250”
$1.40
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Belal Muhammad
“we saw Belal Muhammad knock out Sean guys cuz Belal Muhammad's 36 Leon Edwards honest I know Belal Muhammad's like 10 fight Belal Muhammad's going to put up a decent fight he going to be Leon Edwards”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Belal Muhammad
“we saw Belal Muhammad knock out Sean guys cuz Belal Muhammad's 36 Leon Edwards honest I know Belal Muhammad's like 10 fight Belal Muhammad's going to put up a decent fight he going to be Leon Edwards”