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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pimblett v Green Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 88 picks · conf 81/99
Pimblett 50
38 Green
MMPMTP pick Pimblett
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
PPPimblett 23-4 VS 35-17-1 GreenKG
5'10" height 5'10"
154 lb weight 155 lb
73" reach 71"
31 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-4
L JG Gaethje Decision · R5 Jan '26
W MC Chandler KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
W KG Green Submission · R1 Jul '24
W TF Ferguson Decision · R3 Dec '23
W JG Gordon Decision · R3 Dec '22
Green35-17-1
W JS Stephens Submission · R1 May '26
W DZ Zellhuber KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W LJ Gibson Jr. Decision · R3 Dec '25
L MR Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L PP Pimblett Submission · R1 Jul '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Paddy Pimblett “my heart says King Green but my mind says Paddy Pimblett I'mma go with my mind I think Paddy Pimblett gets this done”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks King Green VALUE $1.85
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE $1.47
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Paddy Pimblett “I think that Molly Molly McCann is being set up to win this fight”
TP The City Life Project picks King Green “going with King Green on this one”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Paddy Pimblett “A minus 107 Paddy Pimblett” $1.93
ES etoft21 sports picks King Green “I just think King Green wins”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm much more interested in Paddy Pimblett”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm I was heavy on the Paddy Pimblett side on Monday and I'm going to stay on the Paddy Pimblett side today give me Paddy Pimblett by knockout tomorrow”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going with Paddy Pimblett to Beat Bobby” $1.96
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks King Green “I'Muhammad Mokaev picking King Green to win”
EB ESPN BET picks King Green VALUE “I'm going with King green”