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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Aldo v Martinez Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 83 picks · conf 79/99
Aldo 39
44 Martinez
PFHHFB pick Aldo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JAAldo 32-9 VS 19-6 MartinezJM
5'7" height 5'8"
143 lb weight 136 lb
70" reach 70"
39 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
Recent form last five, most recent first
Aldo32-9
L AZ Zahabi Decision · R3 May '25
L MB Bautista Decision · R3 Oct '24
W JM Martinez Decision · R3 May '24
L MD Dvalishvili Decision · R3 Aug '22
W RF Font Decision · R5 Dec '21
Martinez19-6
L MM McGhee Decision · R3 Nov '24
L JA Aldo Decision · R3 May '24
W AY Yañez KO/TKO · R2 Oct '23
W SN Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Mar '23
W CS Swanson KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Jonathan Martinez “if you ask the question of who I think gets the fight done I do feel like Jonathan Martinez is probably going to be able to make the most of the opportunities on the night”
TD The Rambling Dad picks José Aldo “I'm going to go with José Aldo on this one um good yeah I'm I'm gonna stick with José Aldo on this José Aldo on that one uh I did Paul Craig but go with José Aldo I'm going to stay with José Aldo José Aldo for me”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Jonathan Martinez “Aldos Jonathan Martinez and that uh Jonathan Martinez should get the job done... Jonathan Martinez winning Jonathan Martinez winning oh old Jonathan Martinez”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jonathan Martinez “I did Jonathan Martinez by decision plus 165”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks José Aldo VALUE
PH Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks José Aldo “I'm going to go with the king of Rio José Aldo especially if this fight stay standy”
KU Kunath picks José Aldo VALUE “I think he wins this fight”
CC Combat Corner picks Jonathan Martinez “if Jonathan Martinez and and uh Steve Erceg Erceg win we're going to see bottles thrown into the cage”
SP Sportshouse picks José Aldo VALUE “José José Aldo returns to MMA to face Jonathan Martinez with José Aldo's experience posing a significant challenge”
FI FightBookMMA picks José Aldo “my pick is José Aldo”
WP WTL (Where's The Line?) Sports Betting Podcast picks Jonathan Martinez VALUE “I'm going with the uh United States guy Jonathan Martinez for the win here and I like that minus 160 we're getting it at right now” $1.62
MM Magnusisp MMA picks José Aldo “I'm going to go with José Aldo um by decision”