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Pereira vs PotieriaMain Card · Middleweight
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Borralho vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
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Lucindo vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Klose vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Ruffy vs MullarkeyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Barbosa vs KareckaitėEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Orolbai v Brener
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
MO
Orolbai 15-2-1
VS
16-5 BrenerEB
Orolbai 15-2-1
VS
16-5 BrenerEB
5'10"
height
5'10"
170 lb
weight
155 lb
74"
reach
72"
28
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
4.0
48%
striking accuracy
47%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
5.3
49%
striking defence
48%
5.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
43%
takedown accuracy
23%
40%
takedown defence
76%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Orolbai15-2-1
W
CC
Curtis
Mar '26
Curtis
Mar '26
W
JH
Hermansson
Nov '25
Hermansson
Nov '25
W
TM
Musayev
Jun '25
Musayev
Jun '25
L
MR
Rębecki
Oct '24
Rębecki
Oct '24
W
EB
Brener
May '24
Brener
May '24
Brener16-5
L
ER
Ribovics
Aug '25
Ribovics
Aug '25
L
JÁ
Álvarez
Aug '24
Álvarez
Aug '24
L
MO
Orolbai
May '24
Orolbai
May '24
W
KK
Kruschewsky
Nov '23
Kruschewsky
Nov '23
W
GK
Kutateladze
Jul '23
Kutateladze
Jul '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai on this one I can't I don't see past Myktybek Orolbai I Myktybek Orolbai on this one um so yeah I'm pretty sure it's Myktybek Orolbai”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Myktybek Orolbai
“Myktybek Orolbai by decision done”
KU
Kunath picks Elves Brener VALUE
“I think he goes out there wins this fight”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm going to pick my 30 3027 decision”
LI
LimpyMMA picks Elves Brener VALUE
“I'm going with Elves Brener”
WP
We Want Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I think Myktybek Orolbai is going to get all the takedowns he wants or needs and get this done”
$3.50
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“look I'm going Myktybek Orolbai I can't I'm not picking against that scary looking dude”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Myktybek Orolbai
“my my titty back Myktybek Orolbai boy Myktybek Orolbai my bad 9,000 this is a guy who I think has a ton of upside as well”
TS
The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I think Myktybek Orolbai can finish him on the feet I think he's too I think um brener is just too he's not safe enough he's too he throws himself out there his Chin's open he's constantly swinging U for hay makers so I think he dominates him through with the grappling um and I think it's should be an easy somewhat of an easy win for orai”
EP
Ebays Fight Predictions picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I think Mech Beck right here in this spot is just a good spot”
MM
Meo on MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai by decision”