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UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almeida v Lewis Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 46 picks · conf 66/99
Almeida 39
7 Lewis
HTPDJT pick Almeida
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JAAlmeida 22-4 VS 29-13 LewisDL
6'3" height 6'3"
237 lb weight 265 lb
79" reach 79"
35 age 41
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almeida22-4
L RK Kuniev Decision · R3 Feb '26
L AV Volkov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W SS Spivac KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W AR Romanov Submission · R1 Jun '24
L CB Blaydes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Lewis29-13
L JH Hokit KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L WC Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Jan '26
W TT Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W RN Nascimento KO/TKO · R3 May '24
L JA Almeida Decision · R5 Nov '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “goingon to surprise a lot of people I'm ring my Derek Le for my last Underdog on this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jailton Almeida “obviously I'm going with Almeida”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Jailton Almeida “I think he blast doubles Derrick Lewis takes him down and just mauls him submits him inside of one round”
TR The Fighters Replay picks Jailton Almeida “if I had to put my money on somebody I'm not even going to lie to you I think I'd have to go at Jailton Almeidaailton Almeida”
UP Ultimate Punching picks Jailton Almeida “as a Jiu-Jitsu guy myself I think I'm gonna have to go with Jailton Almeida”
WP We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida “I don't think he wins this fight [referring to Derrick Lewis, implying Jailton Almeida wins]”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Jailton Almeida “it's obviously a very good stylistic match up for Jailton Almeida”
PN Picks Nation picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “I think Jailton Almeida I think minus 550 is a discount honestly and I think he's absolutely going to get it done” $1.18
KU Kunath picks Jailton Almeida “you plug him in because he's going to get you there”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Jailton Almeida “we do know what's going to happen we we we are aware he's going to take down Derrick Lewis he is going to submit him”
MM Meo on MMA picks Jailton Almeida “so yeah I do have to go jail to Ala”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “I like jelton ala”