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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Borralho v Magomedov Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 26 picks · conf 50/99
Borralho 22
4 Magomedov
HTJTHT pick Borralho
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
CBBorralho 17-2 VS 28-7-1 MagomedovAM
6'1" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 78"
33 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Borralho17-2
W RR Ridder Decision · R3 Mar '26
L NI Imavov Decision · R5 Sep '25
W JC Cannonier Decision · R5 Aug '24
W PC Craig KO/TKO · R2 May '24
W AM Magomedov Decision · R3 Nov '23
Magomedov28-7-1
W MO Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L JP Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W MP Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W BF Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W WA Alves Decision · R3 May '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I'm picking maget off he shouldn't be this big of a dog and I think he gets it done” $3.40
TR The Fighters Replay picks Caio Borralho “I think this guy's a rising star I think he's gonna run through aboose”
WP We Want Picks picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I like Fernandez to get this done and can win this fight”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Caio Borralho “I do believe he's going to get a submission Victory here is my pick here Caio Borralho by submission”
MM Meo on MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “yeah B by submission”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I like Kyo Balo here”
TS The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Caio Borralho “I'm going with Caio Borralho uh by decision on this one”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Caio Borralho “I got Caio Borralho man Caio Borralho money line minus 310 but parlay with the rest of these fights I'm about to talk about next but yeah I just think I think he gets the win” $1.32
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Caio Borralho VALUE “Caio Borralho taking on Abu smam medov at 185 as well second leg to the parlay with rat I think we both have more than two units on this one here” $1.27
CO Covers picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I think there is a little bit of value on him” $3.45
HY Hypecheck picks Caio Borralho VALUE “it's a favorite pass spot here” $1.34
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “Abusupiyan Magomedov around plus 250 Caio Borralho is a tremendous Grappler with karate s standup but everybody's forgetting Mago medov was coming into the UFC with a ton of hype and he's coming off a loss to the world champion Victor Hugo at plus 205 I think he's an extremely skilled fighter with a grappling advantage over Daniel Marcos that he can exploit” $3.50