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Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
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Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
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Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
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Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
KC
KU
Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
MA
JW
Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IA
WA
Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
SN
MG
Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TE
Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TP
MY
Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
VH
Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SD
AA
Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
AJ
Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MN
NW
Naimov vs WoodPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
JF
Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
SM
Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Chimaev v Usman
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
KC
Chimaev 15-0
VS
20-4 UsmanKU
Chimaev 15-0
VS
20-4 UsmanKU
6'2"
height
6'0"
183 lb
weight
171 lb
75"
reach
76"
32
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
58%
striking accuracy
52%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
41%
striking defence
54%
4.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
46%
takedown accuracy
45%
100%
takedown defence
89%
2.8
submissions / 15 min
0.1
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Chimaev15-0
L
SS
Strickland
May '26
Strickland
May '26
W
DP
Plessis
Aug '25
Plessis
Aug '25
W
RW
Whittaker
Oct '24
Whittaker
Oct '24
W
KU
Usman
Oct '23
Usman
Oct '23
W
KH
Holland
Sep '22
Holland
Sep '22
Usman20-4
W
JB
Buckley
Jun '25
Buckley
Jun '25
L
KC
Chimaev
Oct '23
Chimaev
Oct '23
L
LE
Edwards
Mar '23
Edwards
Mar '23
L
LE
Edwards
Aug '22
Edwards
Aug '22
W
CC
Covington
Nov '21
Covington
Nov '21
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I picked chamay to steam Kamaru Usman and he did so”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I'm gonna pick Khamzat Chimaev just again because I gonna say Khamzat Chimaev the winner here all right Chay I am also running with uh Khamzat Chimaev ... I gotta go with Khamzat Chimaev in this one”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Khamzat Chimaev is picking Khamzat Chimaev the me first yes I'Muhammad Naimov picking Khamzat Chimaev knockout those could barely say his name Khamzat Chimaev Chay Khamzat Chimaev is gonna win this fight I who you picking then Khamzat Chimaev night Khamzat Chimaev ... you're going with Khamzat Chimaev”
9F
99.9 The Fan picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I think it's going to be Khamzat Chimaev”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“value prop of the week number five we got Khamzat Chimaev mil lock of the week bu a submission”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I'm going to go Khamzat Chimaev first round rear naked choke on kamaru Kamaru Usman”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I expect and predict that Khamzat Chimaev will win that fight”
SJ
Shaun Jones picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I think Khamzat Chimaev is going to get this fight”
TP
TCMMA Podcast picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Hamza will still win this fight with Precision uh to move to 13 and0 on significant strikes will end up finishing Kamaru Usman sometime in the second or third round”
TU
The Underground picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I got to go with Khamzat Chimaev”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I believe he will finish the future Hall of Famer”
TA
THE FIGHT with Teddy Atlas picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“and fog ganowski is going to take it as his Kamaru Usman on 10 days notice”