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Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
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Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
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Chimaev vs UsmanMain Card · Middleweight
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Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Aliskerov vs AlvesMain Card · Middleweight
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Nurmagomedov vs GafurovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Mokaev vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Peek vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JB
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Basharat vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Dumas vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Breeden vs JubliPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Dudakova vs FreyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Magomedov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nurmagomedov v Gafurov
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
SNNurmagomedov 18-5
VS
20-6 GafurovMG
Nurmagomedov 18-5
VS
20-6 GafurovMG
5'8"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
68"
34
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
3.0
47%
striking accuracy
47%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
57%
striking defence
50%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
16%
takedown accuracy
27%
66%
takedown defence
68%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov18-5
L
BM
Mitchell
Jul '25
Mitchell
Jul '25
L
VO
Oliveira
Feb '25
Oliveira
Feb '25
W
MG
Gafurov
Oct '23
Gafurov
Oct '23
L
JM
Martinez
Mar '23
Martinez
Mar '23
W
SK
Kakhramonov
Dec '22
Kakhramonov
Dec '22
Gafurov20-6
L
JW
Wikłacz
Feb '26
W
RN
Nakamura
Jan '25
Nakamura
Jan '25
W
KK
Kyung-ho
Jun '24
Kyung-ho
Jun '24
L
SN
Nurmagomedov
Oct '23
Nurmagomedov
Oct '23
L
JC
Castañeda
Jun '23
Castañeda
Jun '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TH
TheMMASpokesman picks Said Nurmagomedov
“take Said Nurmagomedov by the ground”
TheMMASpokesman picks Said Nurmagomedov
“take Said Nurmagomedov by the ground”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I believe he's going to get it done”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I believe he's going to get it done”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna go with Said Nurmagomedov getting his signature Guillotine on mu gafarov here”
THE MMA GURU picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna go with Said Nurmagomedov getting his signature Guillotine on mu gafarov here”
TU
The Underground picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm a rock with Said Nurmagomedov I think the guy is very polished he's a very very good upand Comer Muin Gafurov coming off of a decision loss so I'm going with s n Med off for this one”
The Underground picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I'm a rock with Said Nurmagomedov I think the guy is very polished he's a very very good upand Comer Muin Gafurov coming off of a decision loss so I'm going with s n Med off for this one”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Muin Gafurov
“I'm going with the man who has 14 of his 15 wins coming by first round finish Muin Gafurov”
The Barnhill Brothers picks Muin Gafurov
“I'm going with the man who has 14 of his 15 wins coming by first round finish Muin Gafurov”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Muin Gafurov
“I see this fight uh ending with a decision win from NOT_IN_ROSTER_2”
TheGreyFaction picks Muin Gafurov
“I see this fight uh ending with a decision win from NOT_IN_ROSTER_2”
SK
Stoop Knockout picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“we got Said Nurmagomedov the cousin of khabib taking on Muhammad Mokaevuin Gafurov like Mohammad Yahyaeah theMohammad Yahya all ended OV”
Stoop Knockout picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“we got Said Nurmagomedov the cousin of khabib taking on Muhammad Mokaevuin Gafurov like Mohammad Yahyaeah theMohammad Yahya all ended OV”
FP
Fight Night Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“both of us in this one going with s and Said Nurmagomedov to get the win”
Fight Night Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“both of us in this one going with s and Said Nurmagomedov to get the win”
TS
TWSN Sports picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedovharabutdin Magomedov wins this fight”
$1.31
TWSN Sports picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedovharabutdin Magomedov wins this fight”
$1.31
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muin Gafurov
“outwork Said Nurmagomedov”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Muin Gafurov
“outwork Said Nurmagomedov”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I feel pretty comfortable picking Sid mov to get it done here and I like the odds as well”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I feel pretty comfortable picking Sid mov to get it done here and I like the odds as well”
