UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · breakdown
Split Decisions Podcast: Episode 8 (UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Picks and Predictions)
GV
gem n eye visuals
23 months ago
4W–12L · -2.6u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0017:4535:3053:15≈71:01
MB
Modestas Bukauskas
v Marcin Prachnio
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Modestas Bukauskas
v Marcin Prachnio
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give me bowkus by probably decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.63
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MP
Marcin Prachnio
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Marcin Prachnio
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“ultimately I'm gon go pra Neal by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Prop price at publish
+1.2u
$2.25
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
SP
Sam Patterson
v Kiefer Crosbie
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Sam Patterson
v Kiefer Crosbie
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“my pick is going to be Sam Patterson”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$8.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CD
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give me uh Preston Parsons and uh by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MP
Mick Parkin
v Łukasz Brzeski
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Mick Parkin
v Łukasz Brzeski
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give me mck Parkin more than likely about decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.97
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CL
Caolán Loughran
v Jake Hadley
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Caolán Loughran
v Jake Hadley
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“early pick I'm gonna go Caolán Loughran lowen just all the fact he's had a full camp”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.91
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MM
Molly McCann
v Bruna Brasil
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Molly McCann
v Bruna Brasil
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“gim me Molly uh I'm gonna go by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.30
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
NW
Nathaniel Wood
v Daniel Pineda
PROP · DECISION
WON +2.0u
Nathaniel Wood
v Daniel Pineda
PROP · DECISION
WON +2.0u
“give me Nathaniel Wood by decision”
Prop price at publish
+2.0u
$3.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MK
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“my pick is going to be Manel Kape and I I'm going Say by knockout”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
PP
Paddy Pimblett
v King Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Paddy Pimblett
v King Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“my pick's gonna be Arnold Allen uh I like Arnold a lot”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
GR
Gregory Rodrigues
v Christian Leroy Duncan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Gregory Rodrigues
v Christian Leroy Duncan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“give me RoboCop uh this this line is almost pretty much even minus 115 for clld RoboCop minus 105”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$6.50
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
KG
King Green
v Paddy Pimblett
PROP · DECISION
LOST
King Green
v Paddy Pimblett
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I just feel like you gotta go Bobby Green in this fight”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
TA
Tom Aspinall
v Curtis Blaydes
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +0.6u
Tom Aspinall
v Curtis Blaydes
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +0.6u
“give me big Tom uh I think he's faster he hits harder”
Prop price at publish
+0.6u
$1.61
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
LE
Leon Edwards
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Leon Edwards
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“my pick is gonna be Leon Leon Edwards”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.10
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Prop price at publish
+3.5u
$4.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)