UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:004:559:5014:45≈19:40
RR
Reinier de Ridder
v Caio Borralho
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Reinier de Ridder
v Caio Borralho
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“I'll go with Reinier de Ridder by decision.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
RR
Reinier de Ridder
v Caio Borralho
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Reinier de Ridder
v Caio Borralho
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'll go with Reinier de Ridder by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20
→
close$3.20
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RJ
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Rob Font
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.0u
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Rob Font
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.0u
“I'm going Raul Rosas Jr. by decision.”
Prop price at publish
+1.0u
$1.96
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MJ
Michael Johnson
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Michael Johnson
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'mma go with Michael Johnson by first round KO.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MJ
Michael Johnson
v Drew Dober
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Michael Johnson
v Drew Dober
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'mma go with Michael Johnson by first round KO.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.00
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
BF
Brunno Ferreira
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Brunno Ferreira
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna go Brunno Ferreira by KO.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.63
→
close$2.63
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
BF
Brunno Ferreira
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Brunno Ferreira
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna go Brunno Ferreira by KO.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$3.40
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
XL
Xiao Long
v Cody Garbrandt
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Xiao Long
v Cody Garbrandt
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'll go Xiao Long just cuz I can't pick Cody Garbrandt to win a UFC fight in 2025.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.65
entry: Bet Right · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DJ
Donte Johnson
v Cody Brundage
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
Donte Johnson
v Cody Brundage
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
“I'll go Donte Johnson by round two TKO.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AM
Alberto Montes
v Ricky Turcios
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +2.7u
Alberto Montes
v Ricky Turcios
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +2.7u
“I'll go with Alberto Montes by sub.”
Prop price at publish
+2.7u
$3.67
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AM
Alberto Montes
v Ricky Turcios
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Alberto Montes
v Ricky Turcios
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I'll go with Alberto Montes by sub.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DN
Diyar Nurgozhay
v Rafael Tobias
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Diyar Nurgozhay
v Rafael Tobias
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“I'll go with him by sub, I guess.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$12.25
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DN
Diyar Nurgozhay
v Rafael Tobias
MONEYLINE
WON +1.6u
Diyar Nurgozhay
v Rafael Tobias
MONEYLINE
WON +1.6u
“I'll go with him by sub, I guess.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SM
Su Mudaerji
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.3u
Su Mudaerji
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.3u
“So I'll go him by decision.”
Prop price at publish
+1.3u
$2.33
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
SM
Su Mudaerji
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
Su Mudaerji
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
“See, I'll go with Su Mudaerji.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: William Hill (UK) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.49
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
LF
Luke Fernandez
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Luke Fernandez
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'll go Luke Fernandez by KO.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.93
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
