UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown
UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg Full Card Breakdown and Predictions
LI
LimpyMMA
26 months ago
2W–10L · -7.1u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0015:3531:1046:46≈62:21
KB
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“give me Kevin Borjas for the win”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.15
→
close$2.15
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
IB
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“bonfim for the win he probably ends up getting a KO or a TKO”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“Dion Barbosa submission against ernesta”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$3.15
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Prop price at publish
+0.8u
$1.81
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“give me a lucendo by finish probably by a TKO”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.70
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JS
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'm going with Jack Shaw to defeat breu”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.63
→
close$2.63
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CB
Caio Borralho
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +2.0u
Caio Borralho
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +2.0u
“I think bajo is going to be able to TKO on”
Prop price at publish
+2.0u
$3.05
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MP
Michel Pereira
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Michel Pereira
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“give me Michel Pereira by KO Tio”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.82
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JM
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“give me Martinez to uh beat José Aldo”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.73
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SE
Steve Erceg
v Alexandre Pantoja
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Steve Erceg
v Alexandre Pantoja
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'm picking Steve Erceg to take the belt”
Line since pick
CLV +18%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$2.60
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus