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Whittaker vs AliskerovMain Card · Middleweight
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Volkov vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight
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Gastelum vs RodriguezMain Card · Middleweight
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Magomedov vs TrócoliMain Card · Middleweight
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Oezdemir vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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JG
Haqparast vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FL
MN
Lima vs NaimovPreliminary Card · Featherweight
RF
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Fakhretdinov vs DalbyPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Gafurov vs Kyung-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MG
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Gadzhiyasulov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkov v Pavlovich
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
AVVolkov 39-11
VS
20-3 PavlovichSP
Volkov 39-11
VS
20-3 PavlovichSP
6'7"
height
6'3"
261 lb
weight
255 lb
80"
reach
84"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.1
57%
striking accuracy
44%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
55%
striking defence
66%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.8
63%
takedown accuracy
25%
73%
takedown defence
64%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.1
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkov39-11
W
WC
Cortes-Acosta
May '26
Cortes-Acosta
May '26
W
JA
Almeida
Oct '25
Almeida
Oct '25
L
CG
Gane
Dec '24
Gane
Dec '24
W
SP
Pavlovich
Jun '24
Pavlovich
Jun '24
W
TT
Tuivasa
Sep '23
Tuivasa
Sep '23
Pavlovich20-3
W
TT
Teixeira
May '26
Teixeira
May '26
W
WC
Cortes-Acosta
Aug '25
Cortes-Acosta
Aug '25
W
JR
Rozenstruik
Feb '25
Rozenstruik
Feb '25
L
AV
Volkov
Jun '24
Volkov
Jun '24
L
TA
Aspinall
Nov '23
Aspinall
Nov '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Alexander Volkov
“renat gets it done via Split Decision”
MMA JOEY picks Alexander Volkov
“renat gets it done via Split Decision”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I picked Sergei Sergei Pavlovichvlovichh obviously I thought he would catch him”
Leftlane MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I picked Sergei Sergei Pavlovichvlovichh obviously I thought he would catch him”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“Alexander Volkov favorite at two to five ... I'm on Alexander Volkov as well ... I'm going with Alexander Volkov on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“Alexander Volkov favorite at two to five ... I'm on Alexander Volkov as well ... I'm going with Alexander Volkov on this one”
NS
Nikki Stickz picks Sergei Pavlovich
“we got Sergei Pavlovich on this one though”
Nikki Stickz picks Sergei Pavlovich
“we got Sergei Pavlovich on this one though”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I love Alexander Volkov leaning into the questioning too I mean that was just great what do you remember from training I don't know I just woke up in the locker room like okay he's just leaning into funny subtle jab at the power of pavich”
$4.00
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I love Alexander Volkov leaning into the questioning too I mean that was just great what do you remember from training I don't know I just woke up in the locker room like okay he's just leaning into funny subtle jab at the power of pavich”
$4.00
CC
Cody's Calls picks Sergei Pavlovich
“give me pavich by TKO in the first round Sergei Pavlovich pavich is my man bro”
Cody's Calls picks Sergei Pavlovich
“give me pavich by TKO in the first round Sergei Pavlovich pavich is my man bro”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Volkov
“vov could win a lot of the Striking exchanges at times”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Volkov
“vov could win a lot of the Striking exchanges at times”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I've been picking Alexander dragov Alexander Volkov to win”
$3.07
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I've been picking Alexander dragov Alexander Volkov to win”
$3.07
BM
Bedtime MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I just can't shake the feeling Sergei Pavlovich is going to [__] brutally KO this guy and I and I know Alexander Volkov is joking when he says that Sergei Pavlovich used to you know knock him out in the gym and people think he's serious like like they don't I don't think they're understanding sarcasm I mean that's just Americans for you um they think Alexander Volkov would genuinely get on the mic and be like yeah guys Sergei Pavlovich koed me in the gym all the time he's being sarcastic by the way if you didn't know that um but I do believe Sergey Sergei Pavlovich would slump Alexander Volkov most of the time if they fought so I'm going to say Serge Sergei Pavlovich with his ginormous Brock Lesnar physique and reach which is just absolutely [__] insane this guy has a Planet of the Apes build um this guy's literally built like proximus [__] Cae”
Bedtime MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I just can't shake the feeling Sergei Pavlovich is going to [__] brutally KO this guy and I and I know Alexander Volkov is joking when he says that Sergei Pavlovich used to you know knock him out in the gym and people think he's serious like like they don't I don't think they're understanding sarcasm I mean that's just Americans for you um they think Alexander Volkov would genuinely get on the mic and be like yeah guys Sergei Pavlovich koed me in the gym all the time he's being sarcastic by the way if you didn't know that um but I do believe Sergey Sergei Pavlovich would slump Alexander Volkov most of the time if they fought so I'm going to say Serge Sergei Pavlovich with his ginormous Brock Lesnar physique and reach which is just absolutely [__] insane this guy has a Planet of the Apes build um this guy's literally built like proximus [__] Cae”
I9
i9ines picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I'm going to trust Sergei Pavlovich Landing his bombs getting NOT_IN_ROSTER_41 out in the first round”
i9ines picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I'm going to trust Sergei Pavlovich Landing his bombs getting NOT_IN_ROSTER_41 out in the first round”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Alexander Volkov
“I want to give Alexander Volkov here shot”
Morning Kombat picks Alexander Volkov
“I want to give Alexander Volkov here shot”