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Magomedov vs TrócoliMain Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Haqparast v Gordon
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
NH
Haqparast 17-5
VS
21-8 GordonJG
Haqparast 17-5
VS
21-8 GordonJG
5'10"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
68"
30
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
6.2
strikes landed / min
2.9
44%
striking accuracy
48%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
62%
striking defence
62%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
20%
takedown accuracy
61%
84%
takedown defence
81%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.2
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Haqparast17-5
L
QS
Salkilld
Oct '25
Salkilld
Oct '25
W
ER
Ribovics
Mar '25
Ribovics
Mar '25
W
JG
Gordon
Jun '24
Gordon
Jun '24
W
JM
Mullarkey
Dec '23
Mullarkey
Dec '23
W
LQ
Quiñones
Sep '23
Quiñones
Sep '23
Gordon21-8
L
JM
Miller
May '26
Miller
May '26
L
RG
García
Sep '25
García
Sep '25
W
TM
Moisés
May '25
Moisés
May '25
L
NH
Haqparast
Jun '24
Haqparast
Jun '24
W
MM
Madsen
Nov '23
Madsen
Nov '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Nasrat Haqparast
“this was a split decision win for nazrat I agreed with the decision”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE
“I'm going with Nasrat Haqparast Nasrat Haqparast is my Peck same card as Kelvin”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Nasrat Haqparast
“my subscribers and I went with um Nasrat Haqparastas”
$1.43
NS
Nikki Stickz picks Nasrat Haqparast
“I'm going to go with Nasrat Haqparast on this one”
BO
Botmfeeder picks Jared Gordon
“I'm probably going to go with Jared Gordon I think Jared Gordon is the better Striker I think he mixes it up better”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I do see Jared Gordon pulling it off I just hate Jared Gordon personally”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE
“I think nazrat HW Pros is going to win I think he pulls through”
$1.43
BM
Bedtime MMA picks Nasrat Haqparast
“I think Nasrat Haqparast is going to be a lot more dangerous he's more likely to finish this fight I think if this leaves round two Jared Gordon's probably on his way to a decision W just like his boy bow but yeah give me nazra hakaras by round one or round two TKO I think he's going to get a pretty explosive finish in this one and I think he's on a bit of a run right now”
I9
i9ines picks Nasrat Haqparast
“I do think Nasrat Haqparast is going to win he's faster he picks better shots on the feet I think he has good enough takedown defense”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jared Gordon
“nazrat is Young still he's the much younger fighter in this fight he has a cardio advantage”
BE
BetSam picks Nasrat Haqparast
“give me Nasrat Haqparast give me the Moroccan gentleman and I think he kind of styles on Jared Gordon here and gets like a 3027 Victory”
$1.45