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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Smotherman v Hadley Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 32 picks · conf 55/99
Smotherman 6
26 Hadley
DTHDPT pick Smotherman
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
CSSmotherman 12-6 VS 11-4 HadleyJH
5'9" height —
136 lb weight —
69" reach —
28 age 29
Orthodox stance Southpaw
Recent form last five, most recent first
Smotherman12-6
L KA Asakura KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L RS Simón Decision · R3 Jun '25
L SS Sidey Decision · R3 May '25
W JH Hadley Decision · R3 Oct '24
Hadley11-4
L CS Smotherman Decision · R3 Oct '24
W CL Loughran Decision · R3 Jul '24
L CJ Johnson Decision · R3 May '24
L CD Durden Decision · R3 Aug '23
W MG Gordon KO/TKO · R1 Mar '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Cameron Smotherman VALUE “I'm going with man ask myog you're Mak him like a bad superhero I know yeah comes flying in with a pillow and he's going to be my Underdog pick as well”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Jake Hadley “I'm going to be going with J Jake Hadley here”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jake Hadley “my subscribers and I went with Jake Hadley” $1.20
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Jake Hadley “Jake Hadley gets a finish here for NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 Jake Hadley”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jake Hadley “I'm gonna take I'm gonna take white Kong Jake Hadley confidently” $1.20
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Cameron Smotherman VALUE “maybe a little upset from Cameron Smotherman I mean Jake Hadley is not the best ... I think Cameron Smotherman could win”
PH PhoneHomeMMA picks Jake Hadley “I think Jake Hadley wins this one by decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jake Hadley VALUE “my official pick is going to be Jake Hadley to get it done on the judges scorecards” $1.20
I9 i9ines picks Jake Hadley “I'm going to trust Jake Hadley who looked really good in his last performance that I counted him out in um I'm going to trust him to get this one done”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Jake Hadley VALUE “my cash game play of the week which is going to be Jake Hadley at 7.7k” $1.20
MK Morning Kombat picks Jake Hadley VALUE “I'm going with Jake Hadley”
WP We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE “Jake cley is absolutely the pick”