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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
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Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elkins v Pineda
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
DEElkins 29-11
VS
28-17 PinedaDP
Elkins 29-11
VS
28-17 PinedaDP
5'10"
height
5'7"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
71"
reach
69"
42
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
2.9
38%
striking accuracy
49%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
51%
striking defence
45%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
34%
takedown accuracy
24%
56%
takedown defence
54%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
1.5
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elkins29-11
L
JE
Erosa
Apr '25
Erosa
Apr '25
W
DP
Pineda
Oct '24
Pineda
Oct '24
W
TB
Brown
Oct '23
Brown
Oct '23
L
JP
Pearce
Dec '22
Pearce
Dec '22
W
TC
Connelly
Apr '22
Connelly
Apr '22
Pineda28-17
L
DE
Elkins
Oct '24
Elkins
Oct '24
L
NW
Wood
Jul '24
Wood
Jul '24
L
AC
Caceres
Jun '23
Caceres
Jun '23
W
TL
Lutz
Mar '23
Lutz
Mar '23
L
CS
Swanson
Dec '20
Swanson
Dec '20
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Darren Elkins
“I'm going to go with Daren Darren Elkins just just to let William know that we don't just go with clear favorites here the evens bro”
The Rambling Dad picks Darren Elkins
“I'm going to go with Daren Darren Elkins just just to let William know that we don't just go with clear favorites here the evens bro”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Daniel Pineda
“I'm gonna go with Daniel pan”
The Rambling Dad picks Daniel Pineda
“I'm gonna go with Daniel pan”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“my subscribers went with Daniel Pineda and I went with Darren alkins”
$2.05
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“my subscribers went with Daniel Pineda and I went with Darren alkins”
$2.05
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Darren Elkins
“I'm staying with the Darren Elkins”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Darren Elkins
“I'm staying with the Darren Elkins”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren Elkins Elin should win this fight ... I like Darren Elkins here”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren Elkins Elin should win this fight ... I like Darren Elkins here”
PH
PhoneHomeMMA picks Darren Elkins
“I'm taking Darren Elkins to win this one by submission”
PhoneHomeMMA picks Darren Elkins
“I'm taking Darren Elkins to win this one by submission”
KU
Kunath picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I think that Daniel pan could do the same thing”
Kunath picks Daniel Pineda VALUE
“I think that Daniel pan could do the same thing”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena”
$1.80
All-Star DFS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena”
$1.80
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Darren Elkins
“Daniel Pineda takes on Darren Elkins”
MMAWeekly.com picks Darren Elkins
“Daniel Pineda takes on Darren Elkins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm saying Darren Elkins is out dogging Pana I've been picking him all week long”
$1.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm saying Darren Elkins is out dogging Pana I've been picking him all week long”
$1.95