MMA Prophecy
BLENDED
BEST
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Choose a fight to analyse
AH MP Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KP Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight CJ SM Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight CS JH Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight DE DP Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight AA MN Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight JM BK Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE TV Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight ER JP Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MM AA Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL RD Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matsumoto v Katona Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus 61 picks · conf 73/99
Matsumoto 43
18 Katona
TEJDMM pick Matsumoto
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JMMatsumoto 17-2 VS 16-4 KatonaBK
5'6" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 65"
26 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W BA Almakhan Decision · R3 Jun '26
L FB Basharat Decision · R3 Feb '26
W MJ Johns Decision · R3 Aug '25
L RF Font Decision · R3 Feb '25
W BK Katona Decision · R3 Oct '24
Katona16-4
L BA Almakhan KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L JM Matsumoto Decision · R3 Oct '24
W JB Butler Decision · R3 Jun '24
L GA Armfield Decision · R3 Jan '24
W CG Gibson Decision · R3 Aug '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm Pi favorite yeah I'm going with Jean Matsumoto as well”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Brad Katona VALUE “this is my this is my Underdog he's always been this is my Underdog no this is my guy this is my dog of the week this is my week is who is who is who we going for over here that's my boy and we go we we Kona here”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Gan matumoto” $1.41
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm actually gonna pick Jean Matsumoto the upand comer to actually win by decision” $1.44
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “I think Jean Matsumoto will face some adversity in this fight but it's going to be good adversity ... because he's going to learn a lot from a veteran like Brad Katona ... I don't see him getting his first loss against Brad Katona”
PH PhoneHomeMMA picks Brad Katona “I'm taking Brad Katona to win this one by decision”
KU Kunath picks Jean Matsumoto “I think Jean Matsumoto's probably got him covered”
AD All-Star DFS picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “bra atona is a guy you have to play for starters he has honestly not not a bad line here plus 200 at 7.2k very reasonable take down upside that's like the biggest thing and neither guy I mean yeah neither guy has any real finishing upside so I think katona's the preferred side” $3.00
HP Hayjive Picks picks Brad Katona VALUE “Brad Brad Katona Plus three and a half point spread I love it” $1.83
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Jean Matsumoto “undefeated Jean Matsumoto takes on the two-time winner of The Ultimate Fighter Brad Katona”
MC MMA Vulture Clips picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “give me Kylie Kyler Michel Pereirahillips to beat Rob Font and he's sitting at a negative 500”
TP Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “I like the money line on Jean Matsumoto at minus 218” $1.46