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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Saint Denis v Pimblett Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 156 picks · conf 99/99
Saint Denis 66
90 Pimblett
JkCPJT pick Saint Denis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
BDSaint Denis 17-3 VS 23-4 PimblettPP
5'11" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 154 lb
73" reach 73"
30 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Saint Denis17-3
W DH Hooker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W BD Dariush KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W MR Ruffy Submission · R2 Sep '25
W KP Prepolec Submission · R2 May '25
L RM Moicano KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
Pimblett23-4
L JG Gaethje Decision · R5 Jan '26
W MC Chandler KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
W KG Green Submission · R1 Jul '24
W TF Ferguson Decision · R3 Dec '23
W JG Gordon Decision · R3 Dec '22
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI Fight_Numerology picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going with Paddy Pimblett in this one.”
JM Jake Breaksdown MMA picks Paddy Pimblett “yeah, I'll probably pick Paddy Pimblett as well.”
JO JOEFIELDSMMA picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm going to take a Paddy Pimblett finish.”
SR Submission Radio picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm leaning towards Paddy Pimblett based on all those factors”
JU JulianMMA picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm picking Paddy Pimblett by first round sub.”
TE TenSevenMMA picks Benoît Saint Denis “I'm taking Benoît Saint Denis as the favorite here.” $1.69
FF Fightin With Friendz picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm still going to go Paddy Pimblett uh over here in this fight” $2.15
АM Аналитика MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis “And, in general, I am for Benoît Saint Denis.”
GY GypMMA picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm going to pick him my round two TKO.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “Paddy Pimblett Paddy Pimblett money line at like plus 120 or whatever. I got it at plus something.” $2.25
RM Recon MMA picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I am going to be going with the Scouser Paddy Pimblett Pimpblelet here.”
MP Michael Bisping Podcast picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm leaning Paddy Pimblett in this fight, believe it or not.”