Choose a fight to analyse
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs Yañez FREEPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LR
KI
Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AC
CD
Costa vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
FB
JG
Basharat vs GarzaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
AY
Garbrandt vs Yañez FREEPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LR
KI
Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AC
CD
Costa vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
FB
JG
Basharat vs GarzaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Durden
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
ACCosta 16-5
VS
18-10-1 DurdenCD
Costa 16-5
VS
18-10-1 DurdenCD
5'4"
height
5'7"
129 lb
weight
135 lb
67"
reach
67"
30
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.4
48%
striking accuracy
50%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
62%
striking defence
50%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
4.4
54%
takedown accuracy
50%
69%
takedown defence
73%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.9
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa16-5
W
MS
Schnell
Jun '26
Schnell
Jun '26
W
SN
Nicoll
Apr '26
Nicoll
Apr '26
L
AC
Coria
Sep '25
Coria
Sep '25
W
KB
Borjas
May '24
Borjas
May '24
L
SE
Erceg
Nov '23
Erceg
Nov '23
Durden18-10-1
W
JF
Filho
Apr '26
Filho
Apr '26
L
NT
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
L
AN
Nascimento
Nov '25
Nascimento
Nov '25
L
JO
Ochoa
Jun '25
Ochoa
Jun '25
L
JV
Van
Dec '24
Van
Dec '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
Fight_Numerology picks Alessandro Costa
“So I'm going with Alessandro Costa with early TKO in this one.”
Fight_Numerology picks Alessandro Costa
“So I'm going with Alessandro Costa with early TKO in this one.”
JU
JulianMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa to win this via TKO.”
JulianMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa to win this via TKO.”
AM
Artem MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm actually picking a Alessandro Costa round two knockout over Cody Durden, but a round one knockout wouldn't shock me too much, either.”
Artem MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm actually picking a Alessandro Costa round two knockout over Cody Durden, but a round one knockout wouldn't shock me too much, either.”
BE
BetSam picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“give me Alessandro Costa to go here and win by knockout”
BetSam picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“give me Alessandro Costa to go here and win by knockout”
FF
Fightin With Friendz picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to go Alessandro Costa uh as a as a as a bit of a lock for me on this fight card.”
Fightin With Friendz picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to go Alessandro Costa uh as a as a as a bit of a lock for me on this fight card.”
GY
GypMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to take Alessandro Costa by round two TKO.”
GypMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to take Alessandro Costa by round two TKO.”
RM
Recon MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“But we're going to be going with the favorite uh Alessandro Costa to win with a KOT TKO in round number two.”
Recon MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“But we're going to be going with the favorite uh Alessandro Costa to win with a KOT TKO in round number two.”
CE
CerroneMacaroni picks Alessandro Costa
“give me Alessandro Costa by uh he's gonna KO Cody Durden.”
CerroneMacaroni picks Alessandro Costa
“give me Alessandro Costa by uh he's gonna KO Cody Durden.”
RA
RamiMMA picks Cody Durden
“give me Cody Durden by decision”
RamiMMA picks Cody Durden
“give me Cody Durden by decision”
BR
Bryarimma picks Alessandro Costa
“Give me Alzandra Alessandro Costa in this fight.”
Bryarimma picks Alessandro Costa
“Give me Alzandra Alessandro Costa in this fight.”