Choose a fight to analyse
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs Yañez FREEPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LR
KI
Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AC
CD
Costa vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
FB
JG
Basharat vs GarzaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
AY
Garbrandt vs Yañez FREEPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
LR
KI
Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AC
CD
Costa vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
FB
JG
Basharat vs GarzaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
Bantamweight
Prophecy read
Sandhagen v Bautista
Our fair value
$1.68
best price $1.69
PASS · MARKET AGREES
This is one of tonight's free sample picks — fully unlockedEvery fight on the card gets this read. Pro unlocks all the fair lines, EVs and AI research.
Go Pro →
Where to back SandhagenBEST PRICE · moneyline + method market
MarketFairBest bookPriceEV
Moneyline77 of 136 · 57%
$1.68
EU
Coolbet
$1.69
+1%
▾
US
Caesars
$1.67
-0%
Caesars
$1.67
-0%
US
Bovada
$1.67
-0%
Bovada
$1.67
-0%
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.67
-0%
BetOnline.ag
$1.67
-0%
US
Hard Rock Bet
$1.65
-2%
Hard Rock Bet
$1.65
-2%
US
DraftKings
$1.65
-2%
DraftKings
$1.65
-2%
US
betPARX
$1.65
-2%
betPARX
$1.65
-2%
US
BetAnything
$1.65
-2%
BetAnything
$1.65
-2%
US
Bally Bet
$1.65
-2%
Bally Bet
$1.65
-2%
US
FanDuel
$1.62
-3%
FanDuel
$1.62
-3%
US
BetMGM
$1.61
-4%
BetMGM
$1.61
-4%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$1.67
-0%
William Hill (UK)
$1.67
-0%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.65
-2%
Virgin Bet
$1.65
-2%
UK
888sport
$1.65
-2%
888sport
$1.65
-2%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.65
-2%
LiveScore Bet
$1.65
-2%
UK
Grosvenor
$1.65
-2%
Grosvenor
$1.65
-2%
UK
LeoVegas
$1.65
-2%
LeoVegas
$1.65
-2%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$1.63
-3%
Unibet (UK)
$1.63
-3%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.62
-3%
Paddy Power
$1.62
-3%
UK
Betfair Sportsbook
$1.62
-3%
Betfair Sportsbook
$1.62
-3%
EUCoolbet
$1.69
+1%
Coolbet
$1.69
+1%
EUWilliam Hill (UK)
$1.67
-0%
William Hill (UK)
$1.67
-0%
EUBetOnline.ag
$1.67
-0%
BetOnline.ag
$1.67
-0%
EU888sport
$1.65
-2%
888sport
$1.65
-2%
EUPMUPmu_Fr
$1.65
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.65
-2%
Pinnacle
$1.65
-2%
EUBetAnything
$1.65
-2%
BetAnything
$1.65
-2%
EU1XB1xBet
$1.64
-2%
EU
NordicBet
$1.63
-3%
NordicBet
$1.63
-3%
EUBETBetsson
$1.63
-3%
EUWINWinamax (FR)
$1.60
-5%
EUMBMarathon Bet
$1.59
-5%
EU
Betclic (FR)
$1.59
-5%
Betclic (FR)
$1.59
-5%
EU
Unibet (FR)
$1.56
-7%
Unibet (FR)
$1.56
-7%
AUUnibet
$1.65
-2%
Unibet
$1.65
-2%
AU
TABtouch
$1.65
-2%
TABtouch
$1.65
-2%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.65
-2%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.65
-2%
AU
PlayUp
$1.65
-2%
PlayUp
$1.65
-2%
AU
Bet Right
$1.65
-2%
Bet Right
$1.65
-2%
AU
Neds
$1.65
-2%
Neds
$1.65
-2%
AU
TAB
$1.63
-3%
TAB
$1.63
-3%
AU
SportsBet
$1.63
-3%
SportsBet
$1.63
-3%
AU
Betr (AU)
$1.63
-3%
Betr (AU)
$1.63
-3%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$1.62
-3%
Ladbrokes AU
$1.62
-3%
ALL
Polymarket
$1.69
Polymarket
$1.69
Submission1 call · 3%
$13.50
USFanDuel
$13.00
-4%
▾
US
BetRivers
$12.00
-11%
BetRivers
$12.00
-11%
EUUnibet
$12.00
-11%
Unibet
$12.00
-11%
UK
Betway
$11.00
-18%
Betway
$11.00
-18%
Decision32 calls · 97%
$2.55
USFanDuel
$2.85
+12%
▾
USBetRivers
$2.80
+10%
BetRivers
$2.80
+10%
EUUnibet
$2.80
+10%
Unibet
$2.80
+10%
UKBetway
$2.63
+3%
Betway
$2.63
+3%
Round totals · Polymarket▾
O/U 1.5 RoundsO $1.50U $2.99O/U 0.5 RoundsO $1.44U $3.28
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
CSSandhagen 18-6
VS
17-3 BautistaMB
Sandhagen 18-6
VS
17-3 BautistaMB
5'11"
height
5'9"
134 lb
weight
135 lb
70"
reach
69"
34
age
33
Switch
stance
Switch
3.9
strikes landed / min
5.3
53%
striking accuracy
47%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
52%
striking defence
54%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
66%
takedown accuracy
33%
83%
takedown defence
66%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.9
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sandhagen18-6
L
MD
Dvalishvili
Oct '25
Dvalishvili
Oct '25
W
DF
Figueiredo
May '25
Figueiredo
May '25
L
UN
Nurmagomedov
Aug '24
Nurmagomedov
Aug '24
W
RF
Font
Aug '23
Font
Aug '23
W
MV
Vera
Mar '23
Vera
Mar '23
Bautista17-3
W
VO
Oliveira
Feb '26
Oliveira
Feb '26
L
UN
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
W
PM
Mix
Jun '25
Mix
Jun '25
W
JA
Aldo
Oct '24
Aldo
Oct '24
W
RS
Simón
Jan '24
Simón
Jan '24
AI analysis
the model read · live research
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market60% vs 59%
Consensus77 of 136 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.71 → $1.69
Sharpest angleSandhagen by Decision — 32 of 33 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
Fight_Numerology picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm going with Mario Bautista.”
Fight_Numerology picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm going with Mario Bautista.”
JM
Jake Breaksdown MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“Cory Sandhagen and he should get the win here against Mario Bautista.”
Jake Breaksdown MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“Cory Sandhagen and he should get the win here against Mario Bautista.”
UP
UFC on Paramount+ picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna go with Cory Sandhagen just because he's only lost to the best guys and I I think Mario Bautista is one of those guys. He's up there, but I think Cory Sandhagen gets it done”
$1.67
UFC on Paramount+ picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna go with Cory Sandhagen just because he's only lost to the best guys and I I think Mario Bautista is one of those guys. He's up there, but I think Cory Sandhagen gets it done”
$1.67
UP
UFC on Paramount+ picks Mario Bautista
“I think he beat San. I think he finds a way. I I think timing is everything and sometimes it's just your time. Like you're just riding this wave and it's your time and you're winning fights and you're on a streak and I think Mario Bautista it's just his time right now.”
UFC on Paramount+ picks Mario Bautista
“I think he beat San. I think he finds a way. I I think timing is everything and sometimes it's just your time. Like you're just riding this wave and it's your time and you're winning fights and you're on a streak and I think Mario Bautista it's just his time right now.”
LP
Leather'd Podcast picks Cory Sandhagen
“I would take I would take Cory Sandhagen. I think Cory Sandhagen for this.”
Leather'd Podcast picks Cory Sandhagen
“I would take I would take Cory Sandhagen. I think Cory Sandhagen for this.”
JO
JOEFIELDSMMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go two rounds to one, Mario Mario Bautista decision.”
JOEFIELDSMMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go two rounds to one, Mario Mario Bautista decision.”
JU
JulianMMA picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm picking Mario Bautista to win this [ __ ]”
JulianMMA picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm picking Mario Bautista to win this [ __ ]”
SK
Sportsbook Killaz picks Cory Sandhagen
“if you made me bet, I would have to take Cory Sandhagen”
Sportsbook Killaz picks Cory Sandhagen
“if you made me bet, I would have to take Cory Sandhagen”
AM
Artem MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I just really like Cory Sandhagen in this match-up.”
Artem MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I just really like Cory Sandhagen in this match-up.”
FF
Fightin With Friendz picks Cory Sandhagen
“I think Cory Sandhagen wins this fight overall in my opinion.”
Fightin With Friendz picks Cory Sandhagen
“I think Cory Sandhagen wins this fight overall in my opinion.”