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Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Riley v Kamaka III
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
LRRiley 13-0
VS
18-7-1 Kamaka IIIKI
Riley 13-0
VS
18-7-1 Kamaka IIIKI
5'9"
height
5'7"
146 lb
weight
155 lb
69"
reach
69"
27
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
0.0
strikes landed / min
5.0
0%
striking accuracy
57%
0.0
strikes absorbed / min
5.3
0%
striking defence
55%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
0%
takedown accuracy
58%
0%
takedown defence
52%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Riley13-0
W
MJ
Aswell Jr.
Mar '26
W
BG
Grad
Nov '25
Grad
Nov '25
Kamaka III18-7-1
W
DH
Hope
Apr '26
Hope
Apr '26
L
TB
Brown
May '21
Brown
May '21
L
JP
Pearce
Nov '20
Pearce
Nov '20
W
TK
Kelley
Aug '20
Kelley
Aug '20
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
Fight_Numerology picks Luke Riley
“I'm expecting Luke Riley to win by a TKO.”
Fight_Numerology picks Luke Riley
“I'm expecting Luke Riley to win by a TKO.”
JU
JulianMMA picks Luke Riley
“I'll take him to win a 2928 decision here.”
JulianMMA picks Luke Riley
“I'll take him to win a 2928 decision here.”
SK
Sportsbook Killaz picks Luke Riley
“In this fight, I'm going to go with Luke Riley. I'm going to make Luke Riley a strong pick as a matter of fact.”
Sportsbook Killaz picks Luke Riley
“In this fight, I'm going to go with Luke Riley. I'm going to make Luke Riley a strong pick as a matter of fact.”
TE
TenSevenMMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE
“I'm taking the underdog and my teammate Kai Kamaka III in this fight.”
$3.40
TenSevenMMA picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE
“I'm taking the underdog and my teammate Kai Kamaka III in this fight.”
$3.40
BE
BetSam picks Luke Riley
“I think Luke Luke Riley is going to be able to just lead the dance with his power”
BetSam picks Luke Riley
“I think Luke Luke Riley is going to be able to just lead the dance with his power”
FF
Fightin With Friendz picks Luke Riley
“So, I think he's going to be the one that wins here overall cuz he's tough to beat.”
Fightin With Friendz picks Luke Riley
“So, I think he's going to be the one that wins here overall cuz he's tough to beat.”
RM
Recon MMA picks Luke Riley
“I am going to be picking Luke Riley. Luke Riley lot. I'm going to be taking it by decision.”
Recon MMA picks Luke Riley
“I am going to be picking Luke Riley. Luke Riley lot. I'm going to be taking it by decision.”
MP
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE
“I'm going to pick Kai Kamaka III with the upset in that one”
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Kai Kamaka III VALUE
“I'm going to pick Kai Kamaka III with the upset in that one”
MP
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Luke Riley
“my gut and my instincts of course are going with Luke Riley”
Michael Bisping Podcast picks Luke Riley
“my gut and my instincts of course are going with Luke Riley”
CE
CerroneMacaroni picks Luke Riley
“He's going to KO Kai Kamaka III in the first round.”
CerroneMacaroni picks Luke Riley
“He's going to KO Kai Kamaka III in the first round.”
RA
RamiMMA picks Luke Riley
“I'm gonna go with Luke Riley. Bad decision in my opinion”
RamiMMA picks Luke Riley
“I'm gonna go with Luke Riley. Bad decision in my opinion”