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Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pinas v Almeida
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
DP
Pinas 9-1
VS
7-2 AlmeidaCA
Pinas 9-1
VS
7-2 AlmeidaCA
6'1"
height
6'1"
186 lb
weight
186 lb
80"
reach
74"
24
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
—
strikes landed / min
4.1
—
striking accuracy
57%
—
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
—
striking defence
47%
—
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
—
takedown accuracy
0%
—
takedown defence
57%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.3
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pinas9-1
W
WS
Schultz
Feb '26
Almeida7-2
L
CO
Oleksiejczuk
Dec '25
Oleksiejczuk
Dec '25
W
AA
Alhassan
Jan '25
Alhassan
Jan '25
W
IP
Potieria
Oct '24
Potieria
Oct '24
L
RK
Kopylov
Jun '24
Kopylov
Jun '24
W
DB
Budka
Apr '24
Budka
Apr '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
Fight_Numerology picks Damian Pinas
“So I'm going with Damian Pinas by TKO in this one.”
JU
JulianMMA picks César Almeida
“I'll take him to win by a third round TKO.”
AM
Artem MMA picks Damian Pinas
“he's going to knock César Almeida or knock him out in the first round to be honest with you”
GY
GypMMA picks Damian Pinas
“Damian Pinas, round one KO. Easiest money you'll ever make.”
RM
Recon MMA picks César Almeida VALUE
“we're going to be going with the crafty pick, the big underdog here in Cesar César Almeida to get it done with a knockout.”
CP
Combat Picks picks Damian Pinas
“Anyway, I'm going to go with Damian Pinas.”
CE
CerroneMacaroni picks Damian Pinas
“Damian Pinas by KO round one. Easy prediction for this fight.”
RA
RamiMMA picks Damian Pinas
“drop César Almeida and then finish him with ground and pound in the first round”
TP
The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks César Almeida VALUE
“I'm going to go with César Almeida César Almeida on the dog shot.”
$2.85
TP
The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Damian Pinas
“And I I'm going to pick Damian Pinas to go ahead and get the win here.”
$1.44